Calibrated

Calibrated objectively assesses the accuracy of predictions made by economists, investors, and public figures. Key features include: • Automatic tracking of public predictions • Scoring against live prediction market prices • Objective accuracy leaderboard • Brier scoring for resolution • No cherry-picking or manual intervention This platform connects public statements to real-world financial and event markets, such as Polymarket and Kalshi, to ensure every forecast is rigorously evaluated. When a market resolves, the stated claim is automatically scored, providing an unbiased assessment of its accuracy. This eliminates subjective interpretation and manual scoring biases, making it a reliable source for evaluating foresight. Calibrated provides a transparent leaderboard, allowing users to see which public figures consistently make accurate predictions. It's an essential resource for anyone looking to identify genuinely credible voices amongst a sea of commentators, offering a data-driven approach to understanding who to trust. The system ensures that every prediction is matched to a corresponding live market, guaranteeing accountability. Ideal for investors, journalists, researchers, and individuals who want to cut through noise and find truly reliable sources of information. Use Calibrated to inform your decision-making and identify experts with a consistent track record of accurate foresight.